Figures

Input

Diagnostics

Results

Retro

Reference points

Miscellaneous

Tables

Parameter estimates

Parameter estimates, standard errors, and confidence intervals. Rounded to 3 decimal places.
Estimate Std. Error 95% CI lower 95% CI upper
stock 1 mean log(R) intercept \(-7.387\) \(5.334\) \(-17.842\) \(3.068\)
stock 1 NAA \(\sigma\) (age 1) \(0.503\) \(0.074\) \(0.377\) \(0.671\)
Shrimp fully selected q \(1.076\times 10^{-5}\) \(8.758\times 10^{-7}\) \(9.169\times 10^{-6}\) \(1.262\times 10^{-5}\)
Acoust fully selected q \(3.360\times 10^{-5}\) \(2.041\times 10^{-6}\) \(2.982\times 10^{-5}\) \(3.784\times 10^{-5}\)
SprAlb85 fully selected q \(6.685\times 10^{-6}\) \(5.076\times 10^{-7}\) \(5.761\times 10^{-6}\) \(7.758\times 10^{-6}\)
FallAlb85 fully selected q \(1.136\times 10^{-5}\) \(1.326\times 10^{-6}\) \(9.033\times 10^{-6}\) \(1.428\times 10^{-5}\)
SprBig fully selected q \(3.690\times 10^{-5}\) \(4.789\times 10^{-6}\) \(2.861\times 10^{-5}\) \(4.759\times 10^{-5}\)
FallBig fully selected q \(4.642\times 10^{-5}\) \(6.985\times 10^{-6}\) \(3.457\times 10^{-5}\) \(6.235\times 10^{-5}\)
Block 1: Mobile Selectivity for age 1 \(4.292\times 10^{-4}\) \(9.928\times 10^{-5}\) \(2.728\times 10^{-4}\) \(6.754\times 10^{-4}\)
Block 1: Mobile Selectivity for age 2 \(0.092\) \(0.016\) \(0.066\) \(0.128\)
Block 1: Mobile Selectivity for age 3 \(0.337\) \(0.052\) \(0.244\) \(0.445\)
Block 1: Mobile Selectivity for age 4 \(0.435\) \(0.063\) \(0.318\) \(0.559\)
Block 1: Mobile Selectivity for age 5 \(0.534\) \(0.069\) \(0.400\) \(0.663\)
Block 1: Mobile Selectivity for age 6 \(0.718\) \(0.072\) \(0.560\) \(0.837\)
Block 1: Mobile Selectivity for age 7 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 1: Mobile Selectivity for age 8+ \(1.000\) – – –
Block 2: Fixed Selectivity for age 1 \(0.038\) \(0.007\) \(0.027\) \(0.053\)
Block 2: Fixed Selectivity for age 2 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 2: Fixed Selectivity for age 3 \(0.215\) \(0.035\) \(0.154\) \(0.293\)
Block 2: Fixed Selectivity for age 4 \(0.088\) \(0.020\) \(0.056\) \(0.137\)
Block 2: Fixed Selectivity for age 5 \(0.060\) \(0.016\) \(0.034\) \(0.101\)
Block 2: Fixed Selectivity for age 6 \(0.057\) \(0.018\) \(0.031\) \(0.103\)
Block 2: Fixed Selectivity for age 7 \(0.055\) \(0.019\) \(0.028\) \(0.106\)
Block 2: Fixed Selectivity for age 8+ \(0.040\) \(0.014\) \(0.020\) \(0.079\)
Block 3: Shrimp Selectivity for age 1 \(0.000\) – – –
Block 3: Shrimp Selectivity for age 2 \(0.000\) – – –
Block 3: Shrimp Selectivity for age 3 \(0.107\) \(0.039\) \(0.051\) \(0.210\)
Block 3: Shrimp Selectivity for age 4 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 3: Shrimp Selectivity for age 5 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 3: Shrimp Selectivity for age 6 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 3: Shrimp Selectivity for age 7 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 3: Shrimp Selectivity for age 8+ \(1.000\) – – –
Block 4: Acoust Selectivity for age 1 \(0.000\) – – –
Block 4: Acoust Selectivity for age 2 \(0.000\) – – –
Block 4: Acoust Selectivity for age 3 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 4: Acoust Selectivity for age 4 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 4: Acoust Selectivity for age 5 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 4: Acoust Selectivity for age 6 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 4: Acoust Selectivity for age 7 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 4: Acoust Selectivity for age 8+ \(1.000\) – – –
Block 5: SprAlb85 Selectivity for age 1 \(0.000\) – – –
Block 5: SprAlb85 Selectivity for age 2 \(0.312\) \(0.049\) \(0.225\) \(0.415\)
Block 5: SprAlb85 Selectivity for age 3 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 5: SprAlb85 Selectivity for age 4 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 5: SprAlb85 Selectivity for age 5 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 5: SprAlb85 Selectivity for age 6 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 5: SprAlb85 Selectivity for age 7 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 5: SprAlb85 Selectivity for age 8+ \(1.000\) – – –
Block 6: FallAlb85 \(a_{50}\) \(2.848\) \(0.154\) \(2.554\) \(3.157\)
Block 6: FallAlb85 1/slope (increasing) \(0.374\) \(0.045\) \(0.295\) \(0.473\)
Block 7: SprBig Selectivity for age 1 \(0.000\) – – –
Block 7: SprBig Selectivity for age 2 \(0.299\) \(0.072\) \(0.179\) \(0.454\)
Block 7: SprBig Selectivity for age 3 \(0.937\) \(0.167\) \(0.055\) \(1.000\)
Block 7: SprBig Selectivity for age 4 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 7: SprBig Selectivity for age 5 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 7: SprBig Selectivity for age 6 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 7: SprBig Selectivity for age 7 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 7: SprBig Selectivity for age 8+ \(1.000\) – – –
Block 8: FallBig \(a_{50}\) \(3.213\) \(0.212\) \(2.808\) \(3.635\)
Block 8: FallBig 1/slope (increasing) \(0.438\) \(0.060\) \(0.333\) \(0.572\)
Mobile in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) \(16.844\) \(1.650\) \(13.902\) \(20.409\)
Mobile in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\rho\) \(0.882\) \(0.025\) \(0.824\) \(0.922\)
Fixed in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) \(29.665\) \(2.742\) \(24.750\) \(35.556\)
Fixed in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\rho\) \(0.848\) \(0.031\) \(0.778\) \(0.898\)
Shrimp in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) \(15.907\) \(3.603\) \(10.205\) \(24.797\)
Shrimp in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\rho\) \(0.742\) \(0.127\) \(0.439\) \(0.914\)
SprAlb85 in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) \(21.773\) \(2.546\) \(17.314\) \(27.380\)
SprAlb85 in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\rho\) \(0.827\) \(0.045\) \(0.721\) \(0.898\)
FallAlb85 in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) \(21.584\) \(2.799\) \(16.740\) \(27.830\)
FallAlb85 in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\rho\) \(0.898\) \(0.029\) \(0.827\) \(0.942\)
SprBig in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) \(17.996\) \(2.707\) \(13.401\) \(24.166\)
SprBig in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\rho\) \(0.770\) \(0.078\) \(0.586\) \(0.888\)
FallBig in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) \(24.025\) \(3.873\) \(17.517\) \(32.951\)
FallBig in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\rho\) \(0.876\) \(0.045\) \(0.760\) \(0.940\)
Ecov LarvalTempDuration: RW Ecov\(_1\) \(4.495\) \(0.070\) \(4.359\) \(4.631\)
Ecov LarvalTempDuration: RW \(\sigma\) \(0.034\) \(0.012\) \(0.018\) \(0.067\)
stock 1 Recruitment Ecov: LarvalTempDuration \(\beta_1\) \(5.122\) \(1.231\) \(2.709\) \(7.535\)
Ecov: LarvalTempDuration obs. sd. \(0.157\) \(0.018\) \(0.125\) \(0.197\)

Abundance at age

Abundance at age (1000s) for stock 1 in region 1.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8+
1987 3862594 1825258 899066 954373 166668 66041 13312 6166
1988 5023003 2682819 835335 480903 506378 84432 30112 7570
1989 5585612 3465956 1031198 430780 251593 254300 38204 14549
1990 6505032 3861804 1399229 529916 222108 123782 111793 19549
1991 6306232 4523065 1835158 780938 295451 119419 61108 56921
1992 4446004 4412814 2510258 1002395 410007 146310 52567 43450
1993 4360115 3107383 2382580 1386623 537232 208577 66830 37248
1994 3693937 3043030 1640731 1391677 804650 301930 109042 48763
1995 8358441 2582026 1682403 988603 834270 469731 165970 79180
1996 4123145 5860962 1529618 970114 550959 443404 227127 102644
1997 4284677 2897281 3650110 869910 525412 281926 203455 128151
1998 3279901 3005249 1720233 2064595 472215 270257 130420 130537
1999 8621839 2293738 1653910 966566 1127820 245732 127224 105537
2000 3144156 6038862 1306647 912035 511314 563024 109285 86845
2001 2438317 2210908 3857578 767151 512931 273802 274519 82907
2002 4451996 1708901 1294743 2234151 431066 275563 134362 152794
2003 3792120 3123429 1035049 773613 1300269 241480 142971 132620
2004 2626656 2665246 1971494 608469 436877 700260 118684 117849
2005 1731985 1837515 1487820 1134775 342349 235650 345893 102256
2006 4565638 1213161 1055350 844736 623271 178975 111512 182201
2007 1934580 3195545 677219 576768 443313 308396 78685 107957
2008 3462688 1350577 1663741 362258 298229 216111 133104 67003
2009 8980292 2430059 804668 900913 185331 142515 90511 68552
2010 1828935 6317403 1508579 401869 410046 76460 48902 41211
2011 1933086 1285477 3912080 817361 204165 193886 31540 30192
2012 5714762 1359350 809026 2152666 422604 98580 82240 21494
2013 1192566 4024884 888838 443359 1098449 200367 40762 34812
2014 1388543 839138 2557363 476723 221053 506789 79909 24136
2015 619083 977173 542201 1448793 254965 111158 226935 39036
2016 261606 435879 638019 305347 767086 126554 48897 97310
2017 1324575 183230 247545 347805 159148 376016 54917 52744
2018 626518 927948 104437 133841 179158 76870 159939 37750
2019 1235344 435808 422140 46622 55764 67286 23405 43713
2020 1055371 855657 186744 229477 25616 29596 32720 28660
2021 886525 739304 501403 114013 138397 15022 16347 30965
2022 1061686 620391 427863 323406 74212 89264 9437 28592
2023 1043716 745411 393756 287081 217896 49726 58912 24546

Fishing mortality at age by region

Total fishing mortality at age in region 1.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8+
1987 0.014 0.432 0.276 0.284 0.330 0.435 0.597 0.591
1988 0.021 0.606 0.312 0.298 0.339 0.443 0.603 0.595
1989 0.019 0.557 0.316 0.312 0.359 0.472 0.645 0.637
1990 0.013 0.394 0.233 0.234 0.271 0.356 0.487 0.482
1991 0.007 0.239 0.255 0.294 0.353 0.471 0.651 0.648
1992 0.008 0.266 0.244 0.274 0.326 0.434 0.598 0.595
1993 0.010 0.289 0.188 0.194 0.226 0.299 0.410 0.406
1994 0.008 0.243 0.157 0.162 0.188 0.248 0.341 0.337
1995 0.005 0.174 0.201 0.235 0.282 0.377 0.521 0.519
1996 0.003 0.124 0.214 0.263 0.320 0.429 0.596 0.594
1997 0.005 0.171 0.220 0.261 0.315 0.421 0.583 0.581
1998 0.008 0.247 0.226 0.255 0.303 0.403 0.557 0.554
1999 0.006 0.213 0.245 0.287 0.345 0.460 0.637 0.635
2000 0.002 0.098 0.183 0.226 0.275 0.368 0.511 0.511
2001 0.005 0.185 0.196 0.226 0.271 0.362 0.500 0.498
2002 0.004 0.151 0.165 0.191 0.229 0.306 0.423 0.422
2003 0.003 0.110 0.181 0.221 0.269 0.360 0.500 0.499
2004 0.007 0.233 0.202 0.225 0.267 0.355 0.490 0.487
2005 0.006 0.205 0.216 0.249 0.299 0.398 0.551 0.548
2006 0.007 0.233 0.254 0.295 0.354 0.472 0.653 0.650
2007 0.009 0.303 0.276 0.310 0.368 0.490 0.677 0.673
2008 0.004 0.168 0.263 0.320 0.388 0.520 0.722 0.720
2009 0.002 0.127 0.344 0.437 0.535 0.720 1.001 1.000
2010 0.003 0.129 0.263 0.327 0.399 0.536 0.744 0.743
2011 0.002 0.113 0.247 0.310 0.378 0.508 0.705 0.705
2012 0.001 0.075 0.251 0.323 0.396 0.533 0.742 0.742
2013 0.001 0.104 0.273 0.346 0.424 0.569 0.792 0.791
2014 0.001 0.087 0.218 0.276 0.337 0.453 0.630 0.630
2015 0.001 0.076 0.224 0.286 0.350 0.471 0.656 0.655
2016 0.006 0.216 0.257 0.302 0.363 0.485 0.671 0.669
2017 0.006 0.212 0.265 0.313 0.378 0.505 0.699 0.697
2018 0.013 0.438 0.457 0.526 0.629 0.839 1.160 1.155
2019 0.017 0.497 0.260 0.249 0.283 0.371 0.505 0.499
2020 0.006 0.184 0.143 0.156 0.184 0.244 0.335 0.333
2021 0.007 0.197 0.089 0.079 0.089 0.115 0.155 0.153
2022 0.004 0.105 0.049 0.045 0.050 0.066 0.089 0.087
2023 0.001 0.042 0.069 0.084 0.102 0.137 0.190 0.189

Fishing mortality at age by fleet

Total fishing mortality at age in Mobile.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8+
1987 0 0.053 0.194 0.250 0.308 0.414 0.576 0.576
1988 0 0.053 0.193 0.249 0.306 0.412 0.573 0.573
1989 0 0.057 0.208 0.268 0.330 0.443 0.617 0.617
1990 0 0.043 0.158 0.203 0.250 0.336 0.468 0.468
1991 0 0.059 0.216 0.278 0.342 0.460 0.641 0.641
1992 0 0.054 0.198 0.255 0.313 0.422 0.587 0.587
1993 0 0.037 0.133 0.172 0.211 0.284 0.396 0.396
1994 0 0.030 0.111 0.143 0.176 0.236 0.329 0.329
1995 0 0.048 0.173 0.223 0.275 0.369 0.514 0.514
1996 0 0.055 0.200 0.257 0.316 0.425 0.592 0.592
1997 0 0.053 0.194 0.251 0.308 0.414 0.576 0.576
1998 0 0.050 0.184 0.237 0.291 0.392 0.546 0.546
1999 0 0.058 0.212 0.273 0.336 0.451 0.628 0.628
2000 0 0.047 0.172 0.221 0.272 0.365 0.509 0.509
2001 0 0.046 0.166 0.214 0.263 0.354 0.493 0.493
2002 0 0.039 0.141 0.181 0.223 0.300 0.417 0.417
2003 0 0.046 0.167 0.216 0.265 0.357 0.496 0.496
2004 0 0.044 0.162 0.208 0.256 0.345 0.480 0.480
2005 0 0.050 0.183 0.236 0.289 0.389 0.542 0.542
2006 0 0.059 0.217 0.279 0.343 0.462 0.643 0.643
2007 0 0.061 0.224 0.288 0.354 0.477 0.663 0.663
2008 0 0.066 0.242 0.311 0.382 0.515 0.716 0.716
2009 0 0.092 0.337 0.434 0.533 0.718 0.999 0.999
2010 0 0.068 0.250 0.322 0.395 0.532 0.741 0.741
2011 0 0.065 0.237 0.305 0.375 0.505 0.703 0.703
2012 0 0.069 0.250 0.322 0.396 0.533 0.742 0.742
2013 0 0.073 0.266 0.343 0.422 0.568 0.790 0.790
2014 0 0.058 0.212 0.273 0.336 0.452 0.629 0.629
2015 0 0.060 0.221 0.284 0.350 0.470 0.655 0.655
2016 0 0.061 0.223 0.288 0.354 0.476 0.663 0.663
2017 0 0.064 0.233 0.300 0.369 0.496 0.691 0.691
2018 0 0.105 0.385 0.496 0.610 0.820 1.142 1.142
2019 0 0.044 0.162 0.209 0.257 0.345 0.480 0.480
2020 0 0.030 0.110 0.142 0.174 0.235 0.327 0.327
2021 0 0.013 0.049 0.063 0.078 0.104 0.145 0.145
2022 0 0.008 0.028 0.036 0.045 0.060 0.084 0.084
2023 0 0.017 0.063 0.082 0.101 0.135 0.188 0.188
Total fishing mortality at age in Fixed.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8+
1987 0.014 0.378 0.081 0.033 0.023 0.022 0.021 0.015
1988 0.021 0.553 0.119 0.049 0.033 0.031 0.031 0.022
1989 0.019 0.500 0.108 0.044 0.030 0.028 0.028 0.020
1990 0.013 0.351 0.075 0.031 0.021 0.020 0.019 0.014
1991 0.007 0.180 0.039 0.016 0.011 0.010 0.010 0.007
1992 0.008 0.212 0.046 0.019 0.013 0.012 0.012 0.008
1993 0.009 0.252 0.054 0.022 0.015 0.014 0.014 0.010
1994 0.008 0.212 0.046 0.019 0.013 0.012 0.012 0.008
1995 0.005 0.126 0.027 0.011 0.008 0.007 0.007 0.005
1996 0.003 0.069 0.015 0.006 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.003
1997 0.004 0.118 0.025 0.010 0.007 0.007 0.007 0.005
1998 0.007 0.197 0.042 0.017 0.012 0.011 0.011 0.008
1999 0.006 0.155 0.033 0.014 0.009 0.009 0.009 0.006
2000 0.002 0.051 0.011 0.005 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.002
2001 0.005 0.140 0.030 0.012 0.008 0.008 0.008 0.006
2002 0.004 0.113 0.024 0.010 0.007 0.006 0.006 0.005
2003 0.002 0.064 0.014 0.006 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.003
2004 0.007 0.189 0.041 0.017 0.011 0.011 0.010 0.008
2005 0.006 0.154 0.033 0.014 0.009 0.009 0.009 0.006
2006 0.007 0.174 0.037 0.015 0.010 0.010 0.010 0.007
2007 0.009 0.241 0.052 0.021 0.014 0.014 0.013 0.010
2008 0.004 0.102 0.022 0.009 0.006 0.006 0.006 0.004
2009 0.001 0.034 0.007 0.003 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.001
2010 0.002 0.061 0.013 0.005 0.004 0.003 0.003 0.002
2011 0.002 0.048 0.010 0.004 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.002
2012 0.000 0.006 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2013 0.001 0.031 0.007 0.003 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.001
2014 0.001 0.029 0.006 0.003 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.001
2015 0.001 0.016 0.003 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001
2016 0.006 0.155 0.033 0.014 0.009 0.009 0.009 0.006
2017 0.006 0.148 0.032 0.013 0.009 0.008 0.008 0.006
2018 0.012 0.332 0.071 0.029 0.020 0.019 0.018 0.013
2019 0.017 0.453 0.098 0.040 0.027 0.026 0.025 0.018
2020 0.006 0.154 0.033 0.014 0.009 0.009 0.009 0.006
2021 0.007 0.183 0.039 0.016 0.011 0.010 0.010 0.007
2022 0.004 0.097 0.021 0.009 0.006 0.006 0.005 0.004
2023 0.001 0.025 0.005 0.002 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001